The Verdict Library

The questions traders argue about, answered by running them on real market data — years of real options quotes, not screenshots. Every verdict is free. Members get the receipts: the year-by-year numbers, the variants that failed, and why.

All (12) Put selling & the wheel 0DTE & gamma Indicators How backtests lie

Partly Put selling & the wheel

Does the wheel beat buy-and-hold on SOXL?

+18%/yr

best rule, out-of-sample 2020–25 · −49% drawdown

No Put selling & the wheel

Can you make 50%/yr selling far-out-of-the-money puts on index ETFs?

3.5%/yr

best available on SPY at a 20% cushion

Partly Put selling & the wheel

Does rolling a threatened put save you?

−5 pts/yr

what a panic-roll costs vs simply taking assignment

Yes Put selling & the wheel

How much SOXL should I actually allocate to the wheel?

60% max

+11.9%/yr, −31% drawdown, 2022 −30%

Yes Put selling & the wheel

Should the wheel be run on single stocks or index ETFs?

−15% vs −20%

drawdown, index ETFs vs all names, out of sample

Yes Put selling & the wheel

Which tickers are actually tradeable for put selling?

6 of 12

SOXL · TQQQ · QQQ · IWM · SPY · DIA

No Put selling & the wheel

Does selling puts into a volatility spike beat the index?

+12%/yr

vs SPY +15%/yr, with a worse drawdown

No Put selling & the wheel

Does the entry signal matter, or is it all structure?

4 readings

agree: timing < structure

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